MLB: Cubs just canít beat bad teams

Home
Sitemap
MLB: Cubs just canít beat bad teams
Links

MLB Live Odds
Online MLB Betting

MLB: Cubs just canít beat bad teams

MLB: Cubs just canít beat bad teams

2010-07-20

The Chicago Cubs have been one of baseballís biggest disappointments this season. While not unanimous preseason favorites in the N.L. Central, at least a few experts gave the Cubs a chance at competing for the division crown. Sitting at 10-games below .500 overall after Mondayís loss to Houston, Chicago is in dire straits. Strangely, one of the primary reasons for their struggles has been their inability to take care of business against lesser foes. Letís get deeper into that subject and look closer at their chances for getting a win Tuesday night vs. the Astros, where they will be playing as -235 home favorites according to Sportsbook.com.

Diehard Cubs' fan Jim Belushi once starred in a movie titled "Taking Care of Business". His team certainly hasn't done that, and bettors need look no further than trends for evidence of teamís performance tendencies and the following list from FoxSheets underscore the Cubsí ineptitude this season:

ē CHICAGO CUBS are 18-31 (-24.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.9, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Think about that for a second, if Chicago is 13-games below .500 against teams with losing records, it means they are 3-games over .500 against winning clubs. If the Cubs had simply only played 25-24 baseball against the leagueís lesser teams, they would be only 3-1/2 games out of the Central lead right now and in contention.

ē CHICAGO CUBS are 8-18 (-19.1 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.5, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 4*)

The Cubs are 19.1 units in the hole for bettors who have backed them against the leagueís worst hitting clubs this season. Strangely, pitching isnít the problem. As you can see, they are producing only 3.5 runs per game offensively themselves against these weak hitting foes. Unfortunately, it doesnít stop thereÖ

ē CHICAGO CUBS are 17-29 (-23.6 Units) against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.5, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Typically, teams are able to mount come from behind rallies against poor bullpens. Such has not been the case for Chicago.

ē CHICAGO CUBS are 15-28 (-22.6 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.2, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 3*)

The Cubs are 13-games below .500 against teams that donít hit a lot of home runs, returning a negative 52.5% on investment.

ē CHICAGO CUBS are 7-22 (-25.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 2.9, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 6*)

Perhaps the ugliest nugget of all, Chicago is not only allowing its run-starved opponents to outscore their normal averages, itís own offense is producing just 2.9 runs per game on this trend. With an ROI of -86.9%, this trend gets a 6* rating from FoxSheets.

And finallyÖ

ē CHICAGO CUBS are 6-15 (-19.7 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.7, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 5*)

Chicago is 9-games under .500 when playing to its biggest chalk lines this season. Of course, this will be put to test tonight, as the Cubs are an ďAstro-nomicalĒ minus-235 favorite against the Astros behind Ryan Dempster. The Cubs are just 9-16 (-11.9 units) over the last two years in divisional play behind Dempster, and 15-26 overall versus Central Division rivals in 2010.

Meanwhile, the Astros boast a 21-16 divisional record this season, producing 11.9 units of profit. They will turn the ball over to Wesley Wright, who after 126 MLB relief appearance and a recent stint in Triple-A, makes his first career start.

Game time is set for 8:05 PM ET from Wrigley Field, and while the StatFox Power Line suggests that Chicago still holds value up to -207, the savvy bettor canít help but be scared off tonightís mega-price.


MLB: Cubs just canít beat bad teams News



©2019 BASEBALLSPORTBOOKONLINE.COM